LP-4291 · v1

This morning / Ashgrove Architecture · Devonport Marketplace — 118 Quay St · event space · Otago

repliedSynced from AGi32(mock)

From every quote we've sent Ashgrove ArchitectureAI draft — a person decides

We've quoted Ashgrove Architecture 20 times. They usually hold the spec — they've taken the alternative only 3 of 10 times it was offered, and they usually decide in 29 days.

Past quotes:: 20
Decided:: 16 (7 won, 9 lost)
Alternative offered:: 10 · taken 3
Median days to decide:: 29

This quote checked against every quote before it.

AI draft — a person decides

Substitution history

AI draft — a person decides

SpecifiedCangini & Tucci Cove Surface downlight 36WofferedLightplan Aperture Handrail 6W
0 of 0 orderedRecorded on the quoteOn this quote
First time this swap has been offered — no history to read yet.
SpecifiedGrau Halo Pendant 48WofferedLightplan Halo Pendant 24W
2 of 10 orderedRecorded on the quote
2 of 9 decided were ordered, 1 still open.
From LP-3629, LP-3617, LP-3618, LP-3619, LP-3620, LP-3621, LP-3623, LP-3622, LP-3624, LP-3625

We've done this before

AI draft — a person decides

1
Same architect, same sector, similar value, won.
LP-4277Ashgrove Architecture · Devonport Marketplace · event space · sent 29/10/2025$46,845won
2
Same architect, 11% of the same fittings, similar value, won.
LP-3627Ashgrove Architecture · Te Aro Residence · office · sent 25/04/2025$54,170won
3
Same architect, same sector, still open.
LP-4274Ashgrove Architecture · Devonport Marketplace · event space · sent 18/06/2025$6,876expired

Pricing against history

Item	This quote	Last times quoted
LP-APE-6X122 — Aperture Handrail 6W	$109.20	LP-4234 $109.20 (expired)LP-4246 $120.90 (expired)LP-4211 $113.10 (expired)
CA-LUM-3612 — Lumina Panel 36W	$968.60	LP-4206 $901.80 (won)LP-4294 $968.60 (won)LP-4287 $1,002.00 (expired)LP-4265 $1,002.00 (expired)LP-4269 $935.20 (lost)
LP-KŌW-1010 — Kōwhai Ceiling button 10W	$135.00	LP-4284 $142.00 (lost)LP-4312 $155.00 (won)LP-4302 $140.00 (expired)LP-3633 $145.00 (won)LP-4245 $142.00 (lost)
LP-TAN-3619 — Tangent Step light 36W	$522.00	LP-4298 $522.00 (sent)LP-4226 $540.00 (expired)LP-4309 $486.00 (lost)LP-4264 $511.20 (expired)LP-4270 $522.00 (lost)
BO-KIT-622 — Kite Recessed downlight 6W	$204.48	LP-4284 $223.20 (lost)LP-4229 $204.48 (expired)LP-4236 $201.60 (won)LP-4270 $204.48 (lost)LP-4239 $208.80 (won)

A factual comparison only — not a recommendation to discount.

Lead-time risk

Every line is inside the programme the project states.

Likelihood

Quotes to Ashgrove Architecture have been won 7 of 16 times; 2 of the losses were over $40,000.

Sample size 16. Counted from decided quotes in the register: LP-4280, LP-3617, LP-3618, LP-4231, LP-3619, LP-3620, LP-3621, LP-4293, LP-3623, LP-3622, LP-4277, LP-3624, LP-3626, LP-3625, LP-3627, LP-3628.

Suggested edits

AI draft — a person decides

1 line is marked up under 40%, below the usual band for this customer type.
No time entered against this quote, so effort against outcome can't be read for it.