LP-4231 · v1

This morning / Ashgrove Architecture · Tauranga CBD Precinct — 21 Victoria St · multi-residential · Otago

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From every quote we've sent Ashgrove ArchitectureAI draft — a person decides

We've quoted Ashgrove Architecture 15 times. They usually hold the spec — they've taken the alternative only 1 of 8 times it was offered, and they usually decide in 27 days.

Past quotes:: 15
Decided:: 12 (5 won, 7 lost)
Alternative offered:: 8 · taken 1
Median days to decide:: 27

This quote checked against every quote before it.

AI draft — a person decides

Substitution history

AI draft — a person decides

SpecifiedGrau Halo Pendant 48WofferedLightplan Halo Pendant 24W
2 of 10 orderedRecorded on the quote
2 of 9 decided were ordered, 1 still open.
From LP-3629, LP-3617, LP-3618, LP-3619, LP-3620, LP-3621, LP-3623, LP-3622, LP-3624, LP-3625

We've done this before

AI draft — a person decides

1
Same architect, 14% of the same fittings, similar value, won.
LP-4277Ashgrove Architecture · Devonport Marketplace · event space · sent 29/10/2025$46,845won
2
Same architect, same sector, still open.
LP-4207Ashgrove Architecture · Tauranga CBD Precinct · multi-residential · sent 17/08/2025$42,549expired
3
Same architect, similar value, won.
LP-3626Ashgrove Architecture · Wynyard Eatery · office · sent 02/08/2025$46,440won

Pricing against history

Item	This quote	Last times quoted
GR-LUM-4867 — Lumina Recessed downlight 48W	$804.00	LP-4258 $804.00 (sent)LP-4258 $723.60 (sent)LP-4206 $804.00 (won)LP-4294 $723.60 (won)LP-4217 $761.12 (lost)
TR-LUM-76 — Lumina Ceiling button 7W	$550.25	LP-4214 $479.25 (won)
LP-HAL-30X135 — Halo Wall and surface 30W	$360.00	LP-4262 $336.00 (expired)LP-4311 $372.00 (won)LP-4272 $372.00 (expired)LP-4237 $348.00 (expired)LP-4242 $324.00 (expired)
PO-VER-10X101 — Vero Bollard 10W	$365.80	LP-4295 $318.60 (sent)LP-4232 $342.20 (lost)LP-4246 $365.80 (expired)LP-4277 $330.40 (won)LP-4239 $318.60 (won)
CA-MER-9X147 — Meridian Bollard 9W	$367.78	LP-4295 $362.60 (sent)LP-4209 $388.50 (won)LP-4307 $388.50 (lost)LP-4289 $401.45 (won)LP-4275 $349.65 (won)

A factual comparison only — not a recommendation to discount.

Lead-time risk

Grau Lumina Recessed downlight 48W — Matt white, 2700K14 weeks against a 12-week programme
Trizo21 Lumina Ceiling button 7W — Bronze, 3000K14 weeks against a 12-week programme

Likelihood

Quotes to Ashgrove Architecture have been won 7 of 15 times; 1 of the losses were over $40,000.

Sample size 15. Counted from decided quotes in the register: LP-4280, LP-3617, LP-3618, LP-3619, LP-3620, LP-3621, LP-4293, LP-3623, LP-3622, LP-4277, LP-3624, LP-3626, LP-3625, LP-3627, LP-3628.

Suggested edits

AI draft — a person decides

Add a lead-time note to 2 lines — the supplier weeks are past what the programme allows.